侯宇, 王莹, 石惠惠, 耿芳艳, 王艳. 粮食主产区低碳农业耦合协调分析−基于农业碳排放效率的视角[J]. 中国生态农业学报 (中英文), 2024, 32(11): 1−12. DOI: 10.12357/cjea.20240121
引用本文: 侯宇, 王莹, 石惠惠, 耿芳艳, 王艳. 粮食主产区低碳农业耦合协调分析−基于农业碳排放效率的视角[J]. 中国生态农业学报 (中英文), 2024, 32(11): 1−12. DOI: 10.12357/cjea.20240121
HOU Y, WANG Y, SHI H H, GENG F Y, WANG Y. Coupling and coordination analysis of low-carbon agriculture in major grain-producing areas[J]. Chinese Journal of Eco-Agriculture, 2024, 32(11): 1−12. DOI: 10.12357/cjea.20240121
Citation: HOU Y, WANG Y, SHI H H, GENG F Y, WANG Y. Coupling and coordination analysis of low-carbon agriculture in major grain-producing areas[J]. Chinese Journal of Eco-Agriculture, 2024, 32(11): 1−12. DOI: 10.12357/cjea.20240121

粮食主产区低碳农业耦合协调分析基于农业碳排放效率的视角

Coupling and coordination analysis of low-carbon agriculture in major grain-producing areas

  • 摘要: 探究低碳农业系统间的耦合协调度对粮食主产区开展低碳农业协调均衡发展具有重要的现实指导意义。文章在测度我国粮食主产区13个省份、覆盖松花江流域、黄河流域和长江流域农业碳排放效率的基础上, 通过构建包含农业碳排放效率的农业碳排放-农业经济发展-农业生态环境的低碳农业评价系统, 运用耦合协调模型对粮食主产区2001—2021年低碳农业系统间的耦合协调度进行测度, 并探究各系统协调演变的时空规律。结果表明: 2001—2021年粮食主产区农业碳排放效率均值呈现波动上升趋势, 2021年农业碳排放效率均值最高为0.964, 距离最佳生产前沿面仍存在一定的距离; 省域差异上, 2021年辽宁省农业碳排放效率水平最高为1.184, 安徽最低为0.522, 且农业碳排放效率均值表现为松花江流域>黄河流域>长江流域, 农业碳排放效率水平省域差异显著。粮食主产区低碳农业系统的整体耦合协调度呈现稳步增长的趋势, 耦合协调的等级已处于协调发展阶段, 但距离良好、优质协调还有一定的距离。各省份低碳农业系统间的耦合协调度处在0.60到0.89之间, 呈现明显的上升趋势, 耦合等级经历初级协调、中级协调到良好协调的发展阶段, 但省域之间差别较大, 耦合协调度总体呈现“北高南低”“东 高西低”的发展态势。基于此, 提出加强区域间合作、贯彻低碳生产新理念和加强农业科技创新等政策建议。

     

    Abstract: Low-carbon agricultural production is the key to achieving green and high-quality development of agriculture. As an important grain production base in China, the main grain producing area is an important guarantee of national food security, but also the main area of China's agricultural carbon emissions, and it is of great practical significance to explore the degree of coupling and coordination between low-carbon agricultural systems to carry out the coordinated and balanced development of low-carbon agriculture in the main grain producing areas. The article uses the super-efficient SBM model to measure the agricultural carbon emission efficiency of 13 provinces in China's main grain producing areas, covering the Songhua River Basin, the Yellow River Basin and the Yangtze River Basin from 2001 to 2021, and by constructing a low-carbon agricultural evaluation system of agricultural carbon emission, agricultural economic development and agricultural ecological environment, which includes the efficiency of agricultural carbon emission, and then adopts the coupling coordination model to measure the degree of coupling coordination between low-carbon agricultural systems in the main grain producing areas. and to explore the spatial and temporal patterns of the coordinated evolution of each system. The results show that: 1) the average value of agricultural carbon emission efficiency in China's main grain producing areas shows a fluctuating upward trend from 2001 to 2021, and the highest average value of agricultural carbon emission efficiency is 0.964 in 2021; the average value of agricultural carbon emission efficiency has risen sharply during the period of study, but the average value is lower than 1, which is still a certain distance away from the optimal production frontiers. In terms of provincial differences, in 2021, only Anhui and Hunan provinces in the main grain producing areas do not reach the effective state of agricultural carbon emission efficiency; Liaoning Province has the highest level of agricultural carbon emission efficiency of 1.184, Anhui Province has the lowest level of 0.522, and the average value of agricultural carbon emission efficiency is Songhua River Basin>Yellow River Basin>Yangtze River Basin, which is a significant difference in the level of agricultural carbon emission efficiency in the provinces. 2) During the period of 2001-2021, the overall coupling and coordination degree of low-carbon agricultural systems in the main food-producing areas showed a steady growth trend, and the coupling and coordination level is in the stage of coordinated development, but there is still a certain distance from high-quality coordination. Provincial differences, during the study period, the coupling degree of coordination between low-carbon agricultural systems in the provinces is between 0.60 and 0.89, showing a clear upward trend, the coupling grade has gone through the development stage of primary coordination, intermediate coordination to good coordination, but there are big differences between provinces, and the degree of coupling coordination generally shows the development trend of “high in the north and low in the south” “high in the east and low in the west”. Based on this, the following three countermeasures are proposed: firstly, strengthen inter-regional cooperation to jointly promote the development of low-carbon agriculture; secondly, implement the new concept of low-carbon production and continuously improve the low-carbon awareness of farmers; and thirdly, strengthen the agricultural science and technology innovation and continuously improve the agricultural carbon emission reduction technology.

     

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