气候变暖背景下江西省稻油轮作模式中的水稻种植结构变化

The change of rice planting structure in rice-oilseed rape rotation mode in Jiangxi Province under the background of climate change

  • 摘要: 为解决江西省在大力发展油菜过程中出现的稻油争地问题, 本文利用江西省85个气象站1961—2022年气象资料研究了气候变暖背景下稻油轮作模式中水稻种植结构和双季稻熟性搭配的变化特征, 重点关注了2011年后水稻种植结构和双季稻熟性搭配。研究结果表明: 在保证油菜正常生长的情况下, 1) 油菜收获日期(水稻移栽)南北差异大, 南部收获(水稻移栽)早, 北部收获(水稻移栽)晚。在气候变暖条件下, 油菜收获日期(水稻移栽)整体呈提前的趋势, 2011年后较20世纪60年代提前13 d, 赣南地区油菜收获时间为4月上旬, 九江为5月上旬, 其他地区为4月中下旬; 赣南大部分地区水稻移栽时间为4月中旬, 赣北赣中大部为4月下旬—5月上旬; 2) 1961—1990年, 一季稻、再生稻和双季稻种植区域变化不大; 1991年开始, 一季稻、再生稻和双季稻种植北界往北推进, 一季稻种植范围逐渐缩小, 再生稻和双季稻种植范围逐渐扩大; 2011年之后, 吉安南部和赣南可种植双季稻, 赣北南部和赣中大部可种植再生稻, 其余地区可种植一季稻; 3) 从1991年开始, 双季稻各熟性搭配的北界一直向北推移, 2011年之后, 早熟+早熟品种搭配种植区域分布在吉安南部和抚州南部边缘, 早熟+中熟品种搭配区域分布在赣南北部, 早熟+晚熟品种搭配或中熟+中熟品种搭配的区域分布在赣南中南部。本研究结论可为江西省水稻和油菜的均衡发展提供决策参考, 同时也利于气象部门针对性的做好稻油轮作生产模式下的气象服务。

     

    Abstract: In recent years, it is promoted vigorously to expand rape production on winter fallow field in Jiangxi in order to satisfy the fast growing demand for edible vegetable oil in China, but the phenomenon of rice and winter rapeseed competing for land appeared in different areas in the actual development process. This paper studied the changing characteristics of rice planting structure and double-cropping rice maturity collocation under the background of climate change and focused on the combination of rice planting structure and double-cropping rice maturity collocation after 2011 on the base of considering the number of days required for agricultural activities such as rape harvesting and rice transplanting in actual rice oil production by using the meteorological data from 85 meteorological stations in Jiangxi Province from 1961 to 2022. Under the condition of ensuring the normal growth of rapeseed, the research results show that: 1) The harvest date of rapeseed (rice transplanting) was different from north to south, which was early in the south and late in the north and showed an advance trend which was 13 days earlier than in the 1960s after 2011 under the background of climate warming. Beyond 2011, the date of rape harvest was first ten days of April in southern Jiangxi, first ten days of May in Jiujiang, and last twenty days of April in other regions. And then the date of rice transplanting was Mid—April in mostly southern Jiangxi Province, last ten days of April and first ten days of May in north and central Jiangxi Province. 2) The planting areas of single-season rice, recycled rice and double-season rice had little change from 1961 to 1990, but at the beginning of 1991, the northern boundary of single-season, recycled and double-season rice was advancing to the north, and the planting scope of single-season rice was gradually shrinking, while the planting scope of recycled and double-season rice was gradually expanding under the condition of ensuring the normal growth of rape. After 2011, the double-season rice can be grown in southern Ji’an and southern Gannan, the recycled rice can be planted in southern part of northern Jiangxi and most of central Jiangxi, and the single-season rice can be planted in the rest of country. 3) Since 1991, the northern boundary of the maturity combination of double-cropping rice has been moving northward. After 2011, the combination of early and early maturing varieties can be planted in the south of Ji’an and the southern edge of Fuzhou, the combination of early and medium maturing varieties can be planted in the north of southern Jiangxi and the combination of early and late maturing varieties or medium and medium maturing varieties can be planted in the central and southern parts of southern Jiangxi. The results can provide reference for the balanced development of rice and rapeseed, and also help meteorological department to do a good job for meteorological service of rice-oilseed rape rotation mode in Jiangxi Province.

     

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