环境规制与中国农业绿色转型:助力还是阻力?

Environmental Regulation and Green Transformation of Agriculture in China: Help or Hinder?

  • 摘要: 恰当设计的环境规制是推动农业绿色转型的重要保障。本文基于2005-2022年省级面板数据,从绿色全要素生产率视角,实证检验环境规制对农业绿色转型的影响,并重点分析该影响的异质性及其背后的作用机制。研究发现,1)环境规制对农业绿色转型具有显著的正“U”型影响,当前绝大多数省份的环境规制强度都未越过促进农业绿色转型的“U”型拐点。2)环境规制主要是通过提高绿色技术效率来实现整体农业绿色全要素生产率的增长,并且相较于绿色全要素生产率,绿色技术效率可以更早地突破“U”型拐点。3)机制检验发现,环境规制可以通过激发农业绿色技术创新的线性机制和改善土地、劳动力要素错配的非线性机制,进而推动农业绿色转型。4)异质性分析表明,环境规制对农业绿色转型的非线性影响仅在中西部地区和农业绿色发展水平高的省份显著,而对于东部地区、农业绿色发展水平低的省份均无显著影响。研究结论为政府合理设计农业环境规制强度,促进农业发展与环境保护的双赢提供了政策依据。

     

    Abstract: Properly devised environmental regulations serve as a crucial guarantee for promoting the green transformation of agriculture. Based on the provincial panel data from 2005 to 2022, this paper empirically tests the impact of environmental regulation on agricultural green transformation from the perspective of green total factor productivity (TFP), and focuses on the heterogeneity of this impact and the underlying mechanism. The findings show that: 1) environmental regulation had a significant positive “U”-shaped impact on agricultural green transformation, and the intensity of environmental regulations in the vast majority of provinces has not surpassed the “U” inflection point that promotes agricultural green transformation. 2) Environmental regulation primarily enhances overall green TFP growth through improvements in green technical efficiency, and green technical efficiency can surpass the “U” inflection point earlier than green TFP. 3) The mechanism test indicates that environmental regulation mainly derived agricultural green transformation through the linear mechanism of stimulating agricultural green technological innovation and the nonlinear mechanism of improving the misallocation of land and labor factors. 4) The heterogeneity analysis shows that environmental regulation had a significant positive “U”-shaped impact on agricultural green transformation only in central and western regions, while the impact is insignificant in eastern regions. For provinces with medium and high levels of agricultural green development, environmental regulation had a significant positive “U”-shaped impact on their agricultural green transformation, whereas the impact is insignificant for provinces with low levels of agricultural green development. The conclusion of this article provides policy support for the government to reasonably design the intensity of agricultural environmental regulation, promoting a win-win situation for both agricultural development and environmental protection.

     

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